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- Does the Moon Trigger Strong Earthquakes? A 53-Year Global Test July 2, 2026
Investigation · Earthquakes · Seismologists have tested since the 1890s whether the Moon sets off earthquakes. Across 4,729 of the world's largest quakes over 53 years, we find no lunar fingerprint, ruling out any big global effect, though a smaller one could still hide below the noise.
- Tornado Alley Is Drifting Southeast, Not Racing East June 18, 2026
Investigation · Severe Weather · The viral map says Tornado Alley is sliding east at 10 to 20 km a year. Seventy-six years of strong-tornado records say the center of activity is creeping southeast at about a third of that speed, as the Great Plains empty and the Southeast fills in.
- Solar Wind Data Predicts Geomagnetic Storms Four to Eight Hours Ahead June 11, 2026
Investigation · Space Weather · We compared 71 days of DSCOVR solar-wind readings with Earth's storm index. The storm response starts within an hour and peaks four to eight hours after the driving begins.
- First Light for a Thermosphere Sensor Made of Falling Satellites June 9, 2026
Investigation · Space Weather · We pooled thousands of decaying Starlinks into one drag sensor and aimed it at a moderate geomagnetic storm. The fleet decay rate nudged the right way but cannot separate from its own day-to-day scatter. An honest null from a working instrument.
- UFO Reports Don't Cluster Around US Earthquakes Across 104 Years of Public Data May 30, 2026
Investigation · Cross-Match · 9,379 US M ≥ 4.5 earthquakes (1910–2014) against 71,008 NUFORC sightings. The folklore predicts clustering near epicenters; we observe 3 coincidences where 9.4 are expected by chance.
- Seven Public Sensor Layers Stay Quiet Across Ten Skinwalker Ranch Filming Days May 29, 2026
Investigation · Cross-Match · On the 10 days when crew tweets pin the filming calendar, no public sensor records a concurrent anomaly.
- The American Meteor Society Says Fireballs Have Surged. What do the Sensors Actually Say? May 26, 2026
Near-Earth Objects · AMS reported eyewitness fireball counts running 3.9σ above normal in early 2026. NASA's CNEOS sensor catalog (357 deduplicated events, 1998–2026) says no — and rejects the AMS-equivalent effect at p = 0.015 against the modern-sensor baseline.
- A M6.6 Hit Sanriku. No Foreshocks Came First. May 18, 2026
Seismology · Japan Trench, May 15, 2026. Zero M4+ events in the 30-day pre-window. Statistically independent of the M7.4 twenty-five days earlier.
- V4: Precursor Decouples from Cloud-to-Ground Lightning April 20, 2026
Meteorology · 9.6M GOES-16 GLM flashes at 4 spatial scales. V3 signal recovers at k_min = −270 min via SPC timestamps but vanishes at every GLM-triggered scale. QRN + cell-local D-layer: disfavored.
- V3: The Precursor Is Real. It Doesn't Know Outbreak Severity. April 20, 2026
Meteorology · Oklahoma 2024 joins Mayfield 2021 as a second clean replication. Outbreak-vs-dose Δd is not Bonferroni-significant. Precursor is general to any tornadic convection.
- Two Earthquakes. Same Spot. 48 Hours Apart. April 19, 2026
Seismology · M6.0 + M5.9 south of the Kermadec Islands, April 16-18. Bath's law rejected at p = 0.006. Statistically a doublet, not an aftershock sequence.
- V2: Replication on Historical Outbreaks — Mayfield Hits, 2011 Power-Limited April 19, 2026
Meteorology · Mayfield 2021 replicates the 40m tornado precursor at k_min = −270 min. Pooled Fisher p = 1.12 × 10⁻⁴. 2011-2013 events are null by measurement density, not by signal absence.
- Radio Waves Saw These Tornadoes Coming 2h 45min Early April 19, 2026
Meteorology · A 10-day CONUS WSPR study finds HF signal depression that begins 165 min before confirmed tornadoes, scales with D-layer physics, and survives a forecaster-lag control. N = 106 tornado events.
- Offshore Swarm Isn't Cascadia — It's on the Juan de Fuca Ridge April 16, 2026
Fact-Check · Seismology · 23 events off Washington — 400 km west of the subduction trench, on a different fault system entirely.
- Can WSPR Detect Commercial Aircraft? April 16, 2026
Research · Pre-Registered Null · We locked the methods, pulled 5.3M WSPR spots and 934K aircraft positions, and ran the test. Every bin had an aircraft. The control group was empty. Here's what a null result can still tell you.
- M5.7 Earthquake Swarm Strikes Near Reno April 13, 2026
Breaking · Seismology · 47 events in hours — Walker Lane seismic zone lights up with the strongest quake near Reno in decades.
- 10.94 Billion Spots, One Wrong Sign April 7, 2026
Research · Two complete solar cycles of WSPR data say the 10 m band gets worse at solar maximum. The textbooks aren't wrong — the metric is. Inside a clean selection-effect bug.
- A Comet Hit the Sun. Should You Worry? April 5, 2026
Solar Watch · G2 storm, M7.5 flare, 9 CMEs, and our first cosmic ray Forbush decrease — all in 3 days. We tracked it across 7 data streams. The comet CMEs missed Earth.
- What's Really in the Sky? April 4, 2026
Investigation · 80,000 UFO reports cross-referenced against fireballs, storms, and 10,000 Starlink satellites.